OcHonHue gaAaqu opraHoB TexHr4qecxofi excnJIyaraIIHH H3yr{aror B cne-
qua.nrurfx Kypcax eKe[JIyarar\HH rHApoMeJIHoparHBHbIX cucreM, ruApo-
eJreKTpocrauquflr, cyAoxoAHbrx coopyxeHlafi soAocHa6x{eHllff (l'1, A. IIIa-
poe, .II. C. Kycxon, f . H. <Dnexcep).
Ocn osHue np a B H/I a HcrroJrb soBaHnfl, BoAHbIx p ecyp coB BoAo xp aHI.IJIHLITa
BKJrrOqarcT CJIeAyrOqHe BOIpOCbI: Ha3HaqeHLIe; XapaKTepl.lcTl{Ka [pHToKa
BoAbr; OcHOBHbre napaMeTpbl H rrrop@oueTpl4qecKne V rHApaB[Ir4qecKHe
xapaKTepvcTHKt4 BoAOXpaHr4Jr:,i^[\a; rlllipaBIMqeCKHe xapaKrepLrcrHKr4
coopyx<esuft u o6opy.lon aHwfl, rr.rApoysJra; pacqerHble AaHHbIe o BeJIHT{I4He
n/raHapyeuori orAar{r4 LI npoeKTHble noKa3areJln plcnoJlb3oBarurr BoAHbIx
p ecyp coB ; nopflAo K r{cfloJrb3oBalHvn BoAHbrx . p ecyp coB BoAoxp aHr4,IrrilJ\a 14
rHApoJrorHrrecKHX rrporHo3oB; nponycK BbIcoKI{x BoA; 6opt6a c HaHocaMI4;
fuApoMeTpuqecKoe o6c.nyxuBaHne; nuQopual\Hfl, V onoBeuleHufl o BoAHoM
pex(HMe.
K o6qun,t 3aAarraM 9 KcrrJryara qran BoAoxp aH r4ItLrIJ\a orHocflTcfl : cocraB -
JreHI{e It BbIrroJrHeHHe e)KefoAHbrx olepaTHBHbIx nJIaHOB SKCnJIyaTar\HU;
opfaHH3arlHfl HaA3Opa H yXOAa 3a BOAOXqaHLI,IIHU\AMH LI COOpyX{eHHflMkt;
Ha6nroAeHue 3a nepepa6orxofi 6eperoe, saHJreHHeM, JIeAoBbIMH flBJIeHHflMI4
B BoAoxpaHHJIHIqe H B HLIX{Heu 6teQe; nporycK JIbAa H nlraBarout.lax reJI
rrepe3 no4oc6pocHbre coopy)Ke HHfl,, reryuul:r p eMoHT, npoBeAeHl{e flporHlo -
naeo4o.inbrx Meponpuarufi; H3MepeHHe ocHoBHbIX eJIeMeHToB oo4uoro 6a'
JraHca r{ npoH3BoAcTBo npoMepoB; yMeHblxeHue [oTepb BoAbI H3 BoAoxpa-
Hkr[rHWa. .t
flp u cocraB JreH r{H nJra HoB a KcnJr yara rtHH rrn4 p o Ko HcrloJlbsyrcT rHAp oJIo -
rUqeCKHe npOrHO3bI, nO KOTOpbIM BbIrI[CJIflIoT BepOflTHbIe cpOKH LI BeIHqI4HbI
rrpuToKa BoAbr B BoAoxpaHuJrHr.qe. Ans pa3ilHrrHbrx BLIAoB peryJll4poBaHnfl
croKa ga6narospeMeHHocrb nporHo3a I{ ero AeraJlvsatP4fl rlo orpe3KaM Bpe-
MeHH, a TaKx(e AocToBepHocrb H3MeHflIoTcfl B ITIHpOKHX npeAeJIaX.
flpn cyToqHoM peryJrupoBarm rrporHo3upyercfl npLIToK BoAbI rlo qa-
caM, npu c$oHHo-roAHqHoM rpe6yercfl rrporHos npeAcTosrqefi BoAHocrz
uex<eull 4na o6ec[erreHnfl orAaqn. B l,ra.rroeoAHbre ioArt petrrarcuee sHdt{e-
HHe HMeer 3ano/IHeHHe eMKocrH B rrepuoA noJloBoAbfl , A[Ir rlero ueo6xo4utrl
- R rvrsorononghre rorrLT R rTeDHoIr gKclrJ-rvararrvr4 ganSo.nl'rlHe 3aTbv.nHe-v rrl.rv.
H H fl Bo3H ilKaror np r4_np o nycKe Ma KcHMaJrbHbIX p acxoAoB qep e3 no4oc6p oc-
HbIe coopylKeHzfl. flporno3 MaKcHMaJrbHbrx pacxoAoB B orl4x ycJIoBI4rx
.(aer BogMox{Hocrb 3apaHee HaMerLITb tropflAoK npoBeAeHafl xo.[ocrux c6po-
coB H cpa6orox eMKocrH BoAoxpaHLrJtr4x\a.
fIpH eKcnJryarar\r4r4 BoAoxpaHvJrurrl npoBoAflT KaK,rnApororuqecKlle
pacqerbr, TaK H pacqerbr peryJrr4poBaHLrfl.croKa. llpn cocraBJIeHHH ex(ero,q-
HbIX O[epaTr{BHbrx rrJraHoB AJrr pa3JrHrIHbIX OTpesKOB BpeMeHII HeO6XOAHMO
orIeHHTb reKyrrlyrc rr{ApoMereopoJrorurlecKylo o6craHgnxy 14 cAeJlarb Ha
ee ocHoBe nporHo3 croKa AJIfl ycJloeuft seceHHefo noJloBoAbr, .rlerHe-oceH-
Hefi uexeHu; ycraHoBuTb BepoflTH,ocrb HacryilJIeHHfl Ao)KAeBbIX naBoAKoB
c reM, qro6rr BHecrH Heo6xoAzMbre norpaBKr B [poeKTHbIe npopa6o'txu.
flpu gKcilJryararlzoHHbrx' pacqerax peryJrHpoBaHufl croKa Ha ocHoBe
IIcnoJrb3yeMbrx AaHHbrx [porxJrbrx sa6.nroAeHufi HseeqrHbl Bce LIcxoAHbIe yc-
JroBHfl H BapHaHTbI perydrupoaatkrn, pasMepbl opouaevofi TIJIoUIaAH H"rIH
270
MorrlHocrb sJreKTpocTaHrIrrH, napaMeTpbl no4oxphHAJIHu\a H o6ecneqeH-
Hocrb orAaqu. Tie6yercr onpeAeJrurb pe3yJlbrarbl peryJIHpoBaHHR. 3ru
pacqerbr npoBoAfr {rpl{ eKciIJIyaTaqHH B qeJlflx: npeABapHre,nlHofi oUeHKH
npaBHJI pefyJrHpoBaHHfl, COTOCTaBJIeHHfl BbIflBJIeHHbIX BapI,IaHTOB, HCC"IeAO-
BaHr4fl nu6paHHoro BapHaHTa npaBrrr pefyJIHpoBaHHr.
L"rr n p a uH oH a Jrbr{oro HcrroJrb 3oBarnr BoAoxp aH u JIHU\ B flep I{ oA I Kcnfl ya -
rat\uu . A. A. Caeapencxufi peKoMeHAyer rpnMeHflrb peryJIHpoBaHI4e
MeroAoM BepoflTHbIX BapuaHToB cJIeAyl'oqI4M o6pasovI.
3a6naro-sp eMeH Ho 3 aAaTbcr ocHoB H br MH B apLraHTa MI4 Bo3 MOIKH ot? soAo'
xoss fi crneH Hofi o6cra son Kv 9 KcnJr y aT at\uv n0,qoxp au Lr Jrntu\a H a p a3JIHqH ble
xap a KTep H bre Aarbr BH yTpH roAa. B ap naHrbl BoAoxoss fi creeuuort o6craHoB-
KH BKJrr,OqarOT BO3MOX{Hbre HaqaJrbHble F.IanoJIHeHHfl BOAOXpaHHJIHUIa Ha 3Ty
Aary vr p a3 ilw.uH yrc BoAHocrb ltp eAcrofl urero nep H oAa . flp u aronr 3a H aqaJlbHble
HanoJrHeHHfl rrpHHr.rMaioT Jlr4rrrb cpeAHHe [I3 HeCKOJIbKHX HHTepBaJIOD' Ha
Koropbre pazfura Bcfl eMKocrb BoAoxpaHLIJIHIqa,.a BoAHocrb 3aAalor B BHAe
.toni pabHofi o6ecneqeHHocra (uanpuuep, 1, 3, 10, 25,50, 75, 90, 97,
990/o o6ecne.IeHHocra) l
A.[q xaxloro corleraHlzfl Bo3Mo]KHoro H aqaJl bHot-o Ha rIoJI HeHHf H np eA-
crorulero croKa 6araHcoeuu ta6.nIauHo-qHSpoBbIM cnoco6ou BbIflBJIlror
BoAoxo3flficteeHHHe rrocJreAcTBl4fl (eo4oor4aqu, .gHeproorAar{H, HanoJIHe-
wun, c6pocu) B nepuoA Ao cJleAyrouefi xapaKrepHoli Aarll roAa.
Ha fpaQHKe orKJraAbrBaFor KoopAHHarbI: no ocu a6cql{cc - o6ecneqes-
Ha.nnque nporHo3Hbrx Kpr4Bbrx rroMoraer cBoeBpeMeHHo [pHHHMarb
Hy)KHbre Mepbl H npaBHJIbHo opueHrn1oBarbcfl B nu6ope npaBr4JI peryrfi'
poBaHr{fl B rrepr4oA gKcrrJryararyW. fonoenoe 14 ApyrLIe coopy}KeHafl 14
MafHcTpa,TbHbre KaHaJrbr paccrlHTbrBaroT Ha oflpeAe,TeHHylo npo|IycKH]-ro cnQ
co6Hocin. Bo npervrn sa6opa BoAbr B BoAoxpaHHJII4Iqe rlogepxI4Barorseo6-
.z
xoArzrvrde ypoBHH, KOJreoaHHfl KoTopblx corJIacoBbIBaIoT c oTMeTKaMli ilopo-
roB BoAosa6opurrx coopy)KeHrafi , npoBepflfl r4x nponycKHylo cnoco6socru
fi ee coorBercrefie c [JraHoM sa6opa BoAbI, a raK)Ke c ycJIoBHflMH KoMaHAoBa-
Hufl ertx yponHefi HaA oponaeuofi tlJlolrraAbrc.
flpu varuurrrroM BoAonoAbeMe BK.[roqerrHe H BbIKJIIoqetIae nacocsoli cTaI{-
rlr4g B saBncuMocrr.r or yc.noenli HanoJIHeHHr BoAoxpaHHJIHIIIa KoopAHHH-
pyrorcfl oco6lrnlz npaBHJraMH. ExeroAno ycraHaBJlzraror Qaxruuecrafi
cpoK orKpbrru fl KaHailoB H cpoK nepeor? IroAaqI{ BoAbI s xoesficrea.
Onepaqlr[ no sa6opy BoAbr B coorBercrBr.ru c yrBep]KAeHHbIM B rlpoqecce
oKcnJryar a\vw nJraHoM rrpoBoAHT AelxypHblr? Aucner.Iep, KoropHfi orseqaet
3a tsbrnoJrHeHne xogsflrcrseHHoro nJraHa. B yc.nonuflx KoMrlfleKcHoro I,IcnoJIb-
soBaHr4fl BoAHbrx pecypcoB yrrpaBJreHHe BoAHbIx pelKLIMoe odecneqlrBaerct
cTp orr.{N,r np r.r Nre}rel{ HeM np aBI'l JI AHcn eTqepc Kof o p ef yJIHpoBaHH tl .
I-lp ae a,r a Ar{ c ilerr{ep c Koro p eryJrr4 p oBaH H s p asp a6arblB_alor np H cocra B -
JTeHHH npoeKTa H yroqHflrbr npr,r Iz3MeHeHI4H yc,'toBl,Ift pa6oru BoAoxpaHH.
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