TA 7 5 3 2 : W ater and Adaptation I nt erventions in Cent ral and W est Asia Part I - Execut ive Sum m ary & Clim ate Change 32 Ɏɢɝɭɪɚ 2-2. Ƚɟɨɦɨɪɮɨɥɨɝɢɱɟɫɤɢɟ ɞɚɧɧɵɟ, ɤɪɚɟɜɵɟ ɦɨɪɟɧɵ ɭɤɚɡɵɜɚɸɬ ɧɚ ɛɨɥɶɲɢɣ ɪɚɡɦɟɪ ɥɟɞɧɢɤɚ, ɩɨɤɚɡɵɜɚɟɬ, ɱɬɨ ɥɟɞɧɢɤɢ ɭɠɟ ɫɭɳɟɫɬɜɟɧɧɨ ɨɬɫɬɭɩɢɥɢ ɜ ɬɟɱɟɧɢɟ ɩɨɫɥɟɞɧɢɯ 150 ɥɟɬ (ɄȺɁ / ɄȽɁɝɪɚɧɢɰɚ, ɝ. Ⱥɥɦɚɬɵ; GoogleEarth). 2 .3 . ǹȚȐȝȐȑȕȣȍ ȉȍȌșȚȊȐȧ, țșțȋțȉȓȍȕȕȣȍ ȐȏȔȍȕȍȕȐȍȔ ȒȓȐȔȈȚȈ ǹȖȊȘȍȔȍȕȕȈȧ ȓȍȌȕȐȒȖȊȈȧ ȗțȓȤșȈȞȐȧ , ȗȘȖȘȣȊ ȖȉȘȈȏȖȊȈȕȕȣȝ ȓȍȌȕȐȒȖȔ ȌȈȔȉ ȗȖȌȗȘțȌȕȣȝ ȖȏȍȘ Ȑ șȍȓȍȊȣȍ ȗȖȚȖȒȐ ȊȣȏȊȈȓȐ ȉȖȓȤȠȐȍ ȒȈȚȈșȚȘȖȜȣ Ȋ ǾȍȕȚȘȈȓȤȕȖȑ ǨȏȐȐ. ǴȕȖȋȖȟȐșȓȍȕȕȣȍ ȘȍȋțȓȧȘȕȣȍ ȒȖȓȍȉȈȕȐȧ ȗȘȖȚȧȎȍȕȕȖȋȖ ȓȍȌȕȐȒȈ ȚȈȒȎȍ ȔȖȎȍȚ țȋȘȖȎȈȚȤ ȐȕȜȘȈșȚȘțȒȚțȘȍ , șȖȖȘțȎȍȕȐȧȔ Ȑ ȐȔțȡȍșȚȊț. dzȍȌȕȐȒȐ ȘȈȏȓȐȟȕȖȑ ȋȍȖȔȍȚȘȐȐ, ȘȈșȗȖȓȖȎȍȕȕȣȍ Ȋ ȘȈȏȓȐȟȕȣȝ ȒȓȐȔȈȚȐȟȍșȒȐȝ ȘȍȎȐȔȈȝ , ȉțȌțȚ ȗȖȘȈȏȕȖȔț ȘȍȈȋȐȘȖȊȈȚȤ ȕȈ ȐȏȔȍȕȍȕȐȧ ȒȓȐȔȈȚȈ. ǵȖȊȣȍ ȗȘȐȓȍȌȕȐȒȖȊȣȍ ȖȏȍȘȈ ȔȖȋțȚ ȉȣȚȤ ȖȉȘȈȏȖȊȈȕȣ , ȒȖȋȌȈ, ȊȖȏȔȖȎȕȖ ȓȍȌȧȕȖȍȧȌȘȖȔȖȘȍȕȣșȖȏȌȈșȚȌȈȔȉțȗȍȘȍȌȉȣșȚȘȖȖȚșȚțȗȈȦȡȐȔ ȌȖȓȐȕȕȣȔ ȓȍȌȕȐȒȖȔ ( ǼȐȋțȘȈ 2-3) . ǺȈȒȐȍ ȖȏȍȘȈ ȔȖȋțȚ ȐȔȍȚȤ ȉȖȓȤȠȖȑ ȖȉȢȍȔ ȊȖȌȣ Ȑ, ȒȖȋȌȈ ȘțȝȕȍȚ ȗȓȖȚȐȕȈ , ȔȖȎȍȚ ȗȘȖȐȏȖȑȚȐ ȒȈȚȈșȚȘȖȜȐȟȍșȒȐȑ ȗȈȊȖȌȖȒ . ǰȕȚȍȘȊȍȕȞȐȧȗȖȏȈȡȐȚȍȖȚȗȈȊȖȌȒȖȊȕȍȖȉȝȖȌȐȔȈȊȘȈȑȖȕȈȝ , ȒȖȚȖȘȣȍȉȣȓȐ ȖȗȘȍȌȍȓȍȕȕȣ ȒȈȒ ȕȈȝȖȌȧȡȐȍșȧ Ȋ țȧȏȊȐȔȖȔ ȗȖȓȖȎȍȕȐȐ ȖȚ țȡȍȘȉȈ , ȕȈȕȍșȨȕȕȖȋȖȗȈȊȖȌȒȖȔ. Ɏɢɝɭɪɚ2-3. ɉɪɢɥɟɞɧɢɤɨɜɨɟɨɡɟɪɨɉɟɬɪɨɜɜɄɵɪɝɵɡɫɬɚɧɟɫɮɨɪɦɢɪɨɜɚɥɨɫɶɜ ɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɟɬɚɹɧɢɹɥɟɞɧɢɤɚ. Ȼɵɜɲɢɟ 150 ɥɟɬɋɬɚɪɵɟɤɪɚɟɜɵɟɦɨɪɟɧɵɡɚɩɪɟɞɵɞɭɳɢɟ 150 ɥɟɬɩɟɪɟɤɪɵɥɢɨɡɟɪɨ (GoogleEarth). ǹȕȍȋȖȊȈȧ ȓȐȕȐȧ ȗȖȊȣșȐȚșȧ ȕȈ 200- 300 ȔȍȚȘȖȊ Ȋ șȘȍȌȕȍȔȌȖ 2050 ( ǼȐȋțȘȈ 2-4). ǹȒȓȖȕȣȊȖȏȊȣȠȍȕȕȖșȚȍȑ, ȒȖȚȖȘȣȍȊșȍȋȌȈȉȣȓȐȗȖȒȘȣȚȣșȕȍȋȖȔȉțȌțȚ