TA 7 5 3 2 : W ater and Adaptation I nt erventions in Cent ral and W est Asia Part I - Execut ive Sum m ary & Clim ate Change 27 1 .7 . ǸȍȏȦȔȍȘȈȉȖȚȗȖȔȖȌȍȓȐȘȖȊȈȕȐȦȐȏȔȍȕȍȕȐȑȒȓȐȔȈȚȈ DzȓȐȔȈȚȐȟȍșȒȐȍ ȌȈȕȕȣȍ, ȒȖȚȖȘȣȍ ȌȖȓȎȕȣ ȗȘȐȔȍȕȧȚȤșȧ Ȋ ȋȐȌȘȖȓȖȋȐȟȍșȒȖȔ ȔȖȌȍȓȐȘȖȊȈȕȐȐ ȊȒȓȦȟȈȦȚ ȍȎȍȌȕȍȊȕȣȍ șȘȍȌȕȐȍ , ȔȈȒșȐȔȈȓȤȕȣȍ Ȑ ȔȐȕȐȔȈȓȤȕȣȍ ȚȍȔȗȍȘȈȚțȘȣ Ȑ ȍȎȍȌȕȍȊȕȣȍ ȌȈȕȕȣȍ Ȗȉ ȖșȈȌȒȈȝ ȗȖ șȍȚȒȍ 0,2° * 0,2° , ȗȖȒȘȣȊȈȦȡȍȑ șȚȘȈȕȣ ǾȍȕȚȘȈȓȤȕȖȑ ǨȏȐȐ . ǩȈȏȖȊȣȑ țȘȖȊȍȕȤ ȖșȈȌȒȖȊ 2001- 2010 ȋȖȌȖȊ Ȑ ȐȕȚȍȘȗȖȓȐȘȖȊȈȕȕȣȍ ȏȕȈȟȍȕȐȧ ȚȍȔȗȍȘȈȚțȘȣ ȉȈȏȐȘțȍȚșȧ ȕȈ ȖșȕȖȊȍ ȐȏȔȍȘȍȕȕȣȝ ȌȈȕȕȣȝ . ǰșȝȖȌȕȣȑ țȘȖȊȍȕȤ ȖșȈȌȒȖȊ ȖșȕȖȊȈȕȕȈȚȈȒȕȈȏȣȊȈȍȔȣȝȌȈȕȕȣȝ PERSI ANN, ȏȈȐșȒȓȦȟȍȕȐȍȔ 2006-2007 ȋȖȌȖȊ, ȒȖȚȖȘȣȍȖșȕȖȊȈȕȣȕȈ TRMM ȌȈȕȕȣȝ. ǷȘȖȋȕȖȏȣȉțȌțȡȍȋȖȒȓȐȔȈȚȈȕȈ ȗȍȘȐȖȌ 2011- 2050 ȉȣȓȐ ȖȉȘȈȉȖȚȈȕȣ ș ȐșȗȖȓȤȏȖȊȈȕȐȍȔ ȗȧȚȐ ȘȈȏȓȐȟȕȣȝ ȔȖȌȍȓȍȑ ȋȓȖȉȈȓȤȕȖȋȖ ȒȓȐȔȈȚȈ. ǬȈȕȕȣȍ ȉȣȓȐ ȘȈȏțȒȘțȗȕȍȕȣ ȌȖ ȗȓȖȚȕȖȑ șȍȚȒȐ ș ȐșȗȖȓȤȏȖȊȈȕȐȍȔ șȚȈȚȐșȚȐȟȍșȒȐȝ ȔȍȚȖȌȖȊ țȔȍȕȤȠȍȕȐȧ ȔȈșȠȚȈȉȈ . ǬȍȧȚȍȓȤȕȖșȚȤ ȗȖ ȕȈȘȈȡȐȊȈȕȐȦ ȗȖȚȍȕȞȐȈȓȈ ȊȒȓȦȟȈȦȚ ȗȘȖȐȏȊȖȌșȚȊȖ țȟȍȉȕȣȝ ȔȈȚȍȘȐȈȓȖȊ Ȑ ȗȘȖȊȍȌȍȕȐȍ șȍȔȐȕȈȘȖȊ Ȑ ȗȘȍȏȍȕȚȈȞȐȑ ȗȖ ȚȈȒȐȔ ȊȖȗȘȖșȈȔ, ȒȈȒ: șȉȖȘ ȌȈȕȕȣȝ ȗȖ ȋȓȖȉȈȓȤȕȖȔț ȒȓȐȔȈȚț , ȔȖȌȍȓȐȘȖȊȈȕȐȍ ȒȓȐȔȈȚȈ, ȗȘȖșȚȘȈȕșȚȊȍȕȕȈȧȑȐȕȚȍȘȗȖȓȧȞȐȧ, șȚȈȚȐșȚȐȟȍșȒȖȍȘȈȏțȒȘțȗȕȍȕȐȍ Ȑ R ȗȘȖȋȘȈȔȔȐȘȖȊȈȕȐȍ. ǻȟȍȉȕȣȍ ȔȈȚȍȘȐȈȓȣ ȉȣȓȐ ȌȖșȚȈȊȓȍȕȣ Ȍȓȧ ȐșȗȖȓȤȏȖȊȈȕȐȧșȚȈȎȍȘȈȔȐǷȘȖȍȒȚȈ. ǺȍȎȍȗȘȍȌȔȍȚȣȉȣȓȐȊȒȓȦȟȍȕȣȚȈȒȎȍ ȊȗȘȖȋȘȈȔȔțȏȈȒȓȦȟȐȚȍȓȤȕȖȋȖșȍȔȐȕȈȘȈ ȗȘȖȍȒȚȈ. ǸȈȉȖȚȈ ȗȖ ȔȖȌȍȓȐȘȖȊȈȕȐȦ ȐȏȔȍȕȍȕȐȑ ȒȓȐȔȈȚȈ ȗȘȖȐȏȊȖȌȐȓȈșȤ ȗțȚȍȔ ȕȈȉȖȘȈ ȌȈȕȕȣȝ, ȒȖȚȖȘȣȍ ȉȣȓȐ ȐșȗȖȓȤȏȖȊȈȕȣ ȏȈȚȍȔ Ȋ ȋȐȌȘȖȓȖȋȐȟȍșȒȖȔ Ȕ Ȗ Ȍ ȍ ȓ Ȑ Ș Ȗ Ȋ Ȉ ȕ Ȑ Ȑ. Ǫ ȣȊ Ȗ Ȍ ȣ Ȋ ȗ Ș Ȗ ȍ Ȓ Ț ȍ ȉ ȣȓ Ȑ ȗ Ș ȍ Ȍ șȚ Ȉ Ȋ ȓ ȍ ȕ ȣȌ ȓ ȧ ȗ Ș Ȗ Ƞ ȓ Ȗ ȋ Ȗ Ȑ ȕȈșȚȖȧȡȍȋȖȒȓȐȔȈȚȈ, ȐȐȏȔȍȕȍȕȐȧ, ȒȖȚȖȘȣȍȉțȌțȚȐȔȍȚȤȔȍșȚȖȊȉțȌțȡȍȔ . ǺȈȒȐȍ ȐȏȔȍȕȍȕȐȧ Ȋ ȘȈȏȕȣȝ ȟȈșȚȧȝ ȉȈșșȍȑȕȈ ǨȘȈȓȤșȒȖȋȖ ȔȖȘȧ Ȑ ȉțȌțȡȐȝ ȋȖȘȕȣȝ ȓȍȌȕȐȒȖȊ ȖȟȍȕȤ ȘȈȏȕȖȖȉȘȈȏȕȣ ȧȊȓȧȍȚșȧ ȒȓȦȟȍȊȣȔ ȘȍȏțȓȤȚȈȚȖȔ ( Ɏɢɝɭɪɚ 1-11 ). ǩțȌțȡȐȍ ȐȏȔȍȕȍȕȐȧ Ȋ ȚȍȔȗȍȘȈȚțȘȍ Ȑ ȖșȈȌȒȈȝ ȧȊȓȧȦȚșȧ ȊȈȎȕȣȔȐ ȜȈȒȚȖȘȈȔȐ , ȊȖȏȌȍȑșȚȊȐȧ ȒȓȐȔȈȚȐȟȍșȒȐȝ ȐȏȔȍȕȍȕȐȑ ȊȔȍșȚȍ ș ȘȍȟȕȣȔȐ ȗȖȚȖȒȈȔȐ , ȕȈȗȘȐȔȍȘ, ȕȈ șȖȞȐȈȓȤȕȖȥȒȖȕȖȔȐȟȍșȒȐȍ Ȑ ȥȒȖȓȖȋȐȟȍșȒȐȍȗȘȖȉȓȍȔȣ.