TA 7 5 3 2 : W ater and Adaptation I nt erventions in Cent ral and W est Asia Part I - Execut ive Sum m ary & Clim ate Change 12 1 . ǴǶǬǭdzǰǸǶǪǨǵǰǭǰǯǴǭǵǭǵǰȇDzdzǰǴǨǺǨ 1 .1 . ǶȉȡȐȍȗȖȓȖȎȍȕȐȧ Ǫ 4- Ȕ ȌȖȒȓȈȌȍ Ȗȉ ȖȞȍȕȒȍ ǴǷǰDz ȗȖ ǾȍȕȚȘȈȓȤȕȖǨȏȐȈȚșȒȖȔț ȘȍȋȐȖȕț ȗȘȖȋȕȖȏȐȘțȦȚșȧ ȉȖȓȤȠȐȍ ȒȓȐȔȈȚȐȟȍșȒȐȍ ȐȏȔȍȕȍȕȐȧ , (Christensenetal. 2007). ǸȐșțȕȖȒ 1-1 ȗȖȒȈȏȣȊȈȍȚ ȗȘȖȋȕȖȏȐȘțȍȔȣȍ ȐȏȔȍȕȍȕȐȧ ȚȍȔȗȍȘȈȚțȘȣ ȊȍȘȝȕȐȑ ȘȧȌ ) Ȑ ȖșȈȌȒȐ ( ȕȐȎȕȐȑ ȘȧȌ ) ȔȍȎȌț 1980-1999 Ȑ 2080-2099 ȗȍȘȐȖȌȈȔȐ Ȍȓȧ șȞȍȕȈȘȐȧ ǨǪ ǴǶǾ ȒȈȒ șȘȍȌȕȍȍ Ȑȏ 21 ȋȓȖȉȈȓȤȕȣȝ Ȓ ȓ Ȑ Ȕ Ȉ Ț Ȑ ȟ ȍ ș Ȓ Ȑ ȝ Ȕ Ȗ Ȍ ȍ ȓ ȍ ȑ ( ǫ Dz Ǵ). Ǿ Ȑ Ȝ Ș ȣȗ Ș Ȑ Ȋ ȍ Ȍ ȍ ȕ ȣȌ ȓ ȧ ȋ Ȗ Ȍ Ȗ Ȋ ȣȝ, ș Ȍ ȍ Ȓ Ȉ ȉ Ș ȧ ȗȖ ȜȍȊȘȈȓȤ ( ǬȇǼ) Ȑ ș ȐȦȕȧ ȗȖ ȈȊȋțșȚ ȗȍȘȐȖȌȣ ( ǰǰǨ). Ǫ ȋȖȘȈȝ ǷȈȔȐȘȈ, ȗ Ȗ Ȋ ȣ Ƞ ȍ ȕ Ȑ ȍ Ț ȍ Ȕ ȗ ȍ Ș Ȉ Ț ț Ș ȣ Ȍ Ȗ 4 ȋ Ș Ȉ Ȍ ț ș Ȗ Ȋ Ȋ 2 1 0 0 ȋ Ȗ Ȍ ț Ȋ ș Ȗ ȟ ȍ Ț Ȉ ȕ Ȑ Ȑ ș țȔȍȘȍȕȕȣȔ țȊȍȓȐȟȍȕȐȍȔ ȖșȈȌȒȖȊ ȧȊȓȧȦȚșȧ ȗȘȖȍȒȚȕȣȔȐ . ǷȖȊȣȠȍȕȕȈȧ ȚȍȔȗȍȘȈȚțȘȈ ȗȘȐȊȖȌȐȚ Ȓ ȉȖȓȍȍ ȊȣșȖȒȐȔ ȗȖȚȘȍȉȕȖșȚȧȔ ȥȊȈȗȖȚȘȈȕșȗȐȘȈȞȐȐ Ȑ ȗȍȘȍȊȍȠȐȊȈȍȚ țȔȍȘȍȕȕȖȍ țȊȍȓȐȟȍȕȐȍ ȖșȈȌȒȖȊ . Ǫ ǾȍȕȚȘȈȓȤȕȖȑ ǨȏȐȐ ȖȟȍȊȐȌȕȖ, ȋȌȍ ȖșțȡȍșȚȊȓȧȍȚșȧ șȍȓȤșȒȖȝȖȏȧȑșȚȊȍȕȕȖȍ ȗȘȖȐȏȊȖȌșȚȊȖ , ȒȓȐȔȈȚȉțȌȍȚșțȠȍȐȎȈȘȟȍ. Ɏɢɝɭɪɚ1-1. ɆȽɗɂɄ 4 ɈɬɱɟɬɩɨɨɰɟɧɤɟɪɟɡɭɥɶɬɚɬɨɜɞɥɹȺɡɢɢ (Christensenetal. 2007). Dz Ȉ Ȓ ȗ Ȗ Ȓ Ȉ ȏ Ȉ ȕ Ȗ ȕ Ȉ Ǹ Ȑ ș ț ȕ Ȓ ȍ 1-1, Ȋ ȉ ț Ȍ ț ȡ ȍ Ȕ Ȕ Ȗ ȋ ț Ț ȗ Ș Ȗ Ȑ ȏ Ȗ ȑ Ț Ȑ ȏ ȕ Ȉ ȟ Ȑ Ț ȍ ȓ Ȥ ȕ ȣ ȍ ȐȏȔȍȕȍȕȐȧ ȊȒȓȐȔȈȚȐȟȍșȒȐȝțșȓȖȊȐȧȝ. ǬȓȧȚȖȋȖ, ȟȚȖȉȣȐȔȍȚȤȊȖȏȔȖȎȕȖșȚȤ ȖȞȍȕȐȚȤ ȊȖȏȌȍȑșȚȊȐȍ ȐȏȔȍȕȍȕȐȑ ȒȓȐȔȈȚȈ ȕȈ ȋȐȌȘȖȓȖȋȐȟȍșȒȐȍ țșȓȖȊȐȧ Ȑ ȘȈȞȐȖȕȈȓȤȕȖȍȐșȗȖȓȤȏȖȊȈȕȐȍȊȖȌȕȣȝȘȍșțȘșȖȊȔȍȚȍȖȘȖȓȖȋȐȟȍșȒȐȝȌȈȕȕȣȝ ȕȍȚȘȍȉțȍȚșȧ. ǵȈȉȓȦȌȈȍȔȣȍȌȈȕȕȣȍȕȍȖȉȝȖȌȐȔȣȌȓȧȖȞȍȕȒȐ ȕȈșȚȖȧȡȍȋȖ / ȒȓȐȔȈȚȈȊȗȘȖȠȓȖȔ, ȐȗȘȖȋȕȖȏȣȕȈȖșȕȖȊȍȔȖȌȍȓȐȘȖȊȈȕȐȧȔȖȌȍȓȐȒȓȐȔȈȚȈ ȌȈȦȚȓțȟȠȐȍȖȞȍȕȒȐȌȓȧȉțȌțȡȐȝȒȓȐȔȈȚȐȟȍșȒȐȝțșȓȖȊȐȑ . ǪȥȚȖȔȗȘȖȍȒȚȍ ȚȈȒ ȕȈȏȣȊȈȍȔȣȑ ȉȈȏȖȊȣȑ ( ȌȈȕȕȣȍ ȕȈȉȓȦȌȍȕȐȑ) ȗȍȘȐȖȌ - ȥȚȖ 2001- 2010 ȋȖȌȣ, Ȑ ȕȈ ȉțȌțȡȐȑ ȗȍȘȐȖȌ ȌȖȓȎȍȕ ȉȣȚȤ ȘȈșșȔȖȚȘȍȕ ȗȍȘȐȖȌ 2011-2050. ǫȐȌȘȖȓȖȋȐȟȍșȒȐȍȔȖȌȍȓȐ, ȗȘȐȔȍȕȧȍȔȣȝȊȥȚȖȔȗȘȖȍȒȚȍȚȘȍȉțȦȚȊȒȈȟȍșȚȊȍ ȊȝȖȌȕȣȝ ȕȍȗȘȍȘȣȊȕȣȍ ȊȘȍȔȍȕȕȣȍ ȘȧȌȣ ȖȚ șțȚȖȟȕȖȑ ȚȍȔȗȍȘȈȚțȘȣ Ȑ