TA 7 5 3 2 : W ater and Adaptation I nt erventions in Cent ral and W est Asia Part I - Execut ive Sum m ary & Clim ate Change 10 ȝȖȏȧȑșȚȊȍ ȧȊȓȧȦȚșȧ ȋȖȘȈȏȌȖ ȉȖȓȍȍ ȥȜȜȍȒȚȐȊȕȣȔȐ ș ȚȖȟȒȐ ȏȘȍȕȐȧ șȖȒȘȈȡȍȕȐȧ ȕȍțȌȖȊȓȍȚȊȖȘȍȕȕȖȋȖ șȗȘȖșȈ, ȗȖȚȖȔț ȟȚȖ ȊȕțȚȘȍȕȕȍȍ ȗȖȚȘȍȉȓȍȕȐȍ ȊȖȌȣ Ȋ ȉȈșșȍȑȕȈȝ ȧȊȓȧȍȚșȧ ȕȍȏȕȈȟȐȚȍȓȤȕȖȑ ȗȖ șȘȈȊȕȍȕȐȦ ș ȐșȗȖȓȤȏȖȊȈȕȐȍȔ ȊȖȌȣ Ȍȓȧ șȍȓȤșȒȖȋȖ ȝȖȏȧȑșȚȊȈ . ǷȘȐȔȍȕȍȕȐȍ șȈȔȖȑ ȏȈȚȘȈȚȕȖȑ ȈȌȈȗȚȈȞȐȖȕȕȖȑ ȔȍȘȣ ȏȈȒȘȖȍȚ ȕȍȌȖșȚȈȚȖȒ ȊȖȌȣ Ȑ șȚȖȐȔȖșȚȤ șȖșȚȈȊȐȚ 1,730 ȔȓȕȌȖȓȓ. ǹȀǨ Ȋ ȋȖȌ Ȓ 2050 ȋȖȌț. ǷȖȒȘȣȚȐȍ ȕȍȌȖșȚȈȚȒȈ ȊȖȌȣ, ȊȣȏȊȈȕȕȣȝ ȚȖȓȤȒȖȐȏȔȍȕȍȕȐȍȔȒȓȐȔȈȚȈȉțȌȍȚșȚȖȐȚȤ 550 Ȕȓȕ. ȌȖȓȓ. ǹȀǨȊȋȖȌ 2050 ȋȖȌț. • ǩȖȓȤȠȐȕșȚȊȖ ȥȒȖȕȖȔȐȟȍșȒȐ ȥȜȜȍȒȚȐȊȕȣȝ ȔȍȘ ȈȌȈȗȚȈȞȐȐ (I ), țȓțȟȠȍȕȐȍ șȍȓȤșȒȖȝȖȏȧȑșȚȊȍȕȕȖȑ ȗȘȈȒȚȐȒȐ, (I I ) ȌȍȜȐȞȐȚ ȖȘȖȠȍȕȐȧ, (I I I ) țȊȍȓȐȟȍȕȐȍ ȗȖȊȚȖȘȕȖȋȖ ȐșȗȖȓȤȏȖȊȈȕȐȧ ȊȖȌȣ Ȋ șȍȓȤșȒȖȔ ȝȖȏȧȑșȚȊȍ, Ȑ (I V), șȖȒȘȈȡȍȕȐȍ ȖȘȖȠȈȍȔȣȝȗȓȖȡȈȌȍȑ. • ǯȈȚȘȈȚ ȣȕȈȗȖȒȘ ȣȚȐȍȊșȍȋȖȕȍȌȖȚȈȚȒ ȈȊȖȌȣ (43000 ȔȓȕȔ3) ȖȞȍȕȐȊȈȦȚșȧ Ȋ US $ 1730 Ȕȓȕ. ȊȋȖȌȊ 2050 ȋȖȌț. ‡ǷȖȒȘȣȚȐȍ ȌȖȗȖȓȕȐȚȍȓȤȕȖȑ ȕȍȝȊȈȚȒȐȊȖȌȣ, ȊȣȏȊȈȕȕȖȑ ȚȖȓȤȒȖȐȏȔȍȕȍȕȐȍȔ ȒȓȐȔȈȚȈ (25.000 Ȕȓȕ. Ȕ3) ȉțȌȍȚ șȚȖȐȚȤ 550 Ȕȓȕ. ȌȖȓȓ. ǹȀǨ Ȋ ȋȖȌ Ȓ 2050 ȋȖȌț. ǷȘȖȌȖȓȎȈȦȡȍȍșȧ șȚȘȖȐȚȍȓȤșȚȊȖ ȕȖȊȣȝ ȗȓȖȚȐȕ Ȋ DzȣȘȋȣȏșȚȈȕȍ Ȑ ǺȈȌȎȐȒȐșȚȈȕȍ ȌȖȉȈȊȓȧȍȚ ȕȈȗȘȧȎȍȕȕȖșȚȤ Ȋ șȓȖȎȐȊȠȍȑșȧ șȐȚțȈȞȐȐ . ǹȖȊȍȚșȒȈȧ ȥȘȈ , șȖȖȚȊȍȚșȚȊțȦȡȈȧ ȗȓȈȕț ȋȐȌȘȖȥȕȍȘȋȍȚȐȟȍșȒȐȝ ȗȘȖȍȒȚȖȊ DzȈȔȉȈȘȈȚȈI Ȑ I I Ȋ DzȣȘȋȣȏșȚȈȕȍ , Ȑ ǸȖȋțȕșȒȖȑ ȗȓȖȚȐȕȣ Ȋ ǺȈȌȎȐȒȐșȚȈȕȍ ȕȈȝȖȌȧȚșȧ șȕȖȊȈ Ȋ ȘȈȏȘȈȉȖȚȒȍ, Ȋ șȊȧȏȐ ș ȘȈșȠȐȘȍȕȐȍȔ ȌȖșȚțȗȈ Ȓ ȌȍȕȤȋȈȔ ȔȍȎȌțȕȈȘȖȌȕȣȝ ȌȖȕȖȘȖȊ - ǸȖșșȐȐȐDzȐȚȈȧ, ȐȕȊȍșȚȐȘțȦȡȐȝȊȥȚȐȗȘȖȍȒȚȣ. Ǫ ș Ț Ș Ȉ ȕ Ȉ ȝ ȕ Ȑ ȏ Ȗ Ȋ Ȥ ȧ ȥ Ț Ȑ ș Ȗ ȉ ȣ Ț Ȑ ȧ ț ș Ȑ ȓ Ȑ ȓ Ȑ ȉ ȍ ș ȗ Ȗ Ȓ Ȗ ȑ ș Ț Ȋ Ȗ, ȗ Ȗ Ț Ȗ Ȕ ț ȟ Ț Ȗ ȥ Ț Ȗ Ȕ Ȗ Ȏ ȍ Ț Ȗ ȏ ȕ Ȉ ȟ Ȉ Ț Ȥ, ȟ Ț Ȗ ș Ț Ș Ȉ ȕ ȣ ȕ Ȉ ȝ Ȗ Ȍ ȧ ȡ Ȑ ȍ ș ȧ Ȋ Ȋ ȍ Ș ȝ ȗ Ȗ Ț ȍ ȟ ȍ ȕ Ȑ Ȧ Ȕ Ȗ ȋ ț Ț ȕ ȍ șȊȧȏȣȊȈȚȤ șȍȉȧ ȖȉȧȏȈȚȍȓȤșȚȊȈȔȐ Ȑ ȕȍȖȉȝȖȌȐȔȖșȚȤȦ ȗȖșȚȈȊȒȐ ȥȕȍȘȋȖȕȖșȐȚȍȓȍȑ Ȋ ȏȐȔȕȐȑ ȗȍȘȐȖȌ Ȑȏ DzȈȏȈȝșȚȈȕȈ , ǻȏȉȍȒȐșȚȈȕȈ Ȑ ǺțȘȒȔȍȕȐșȚȈȕȈ. ǹȚȘȈȕȣȊȊȍȘȝȗȖȚȍȟȍȕȐȦȔȖȋțȚȕȍșȓȍȌȖȊȈȚȤșȖȉȓȦȌȍȕȐȦ ȗȘȈȊȐȓ ȘȈȉȖȚȣ ȓȍȚȕȍȋȖ ȘȍȎȐȔȈ ș șȍȘȤȍȏȕȣȔȐ ȗȖșȓȍȌșȚȊȐȧȔȐ Ȍȓȧ ȖȘȖȠȈȍȔȖȋȖȏȍȔȓȍȌȍȓȐȧȐȥȒȖȕȖȔȐȒȐȊȞȍȓȖȔȌȓȧșȚȘȈȕ , ȓȍȎȈȡȐȝȊȕȐȏȗȖ ȚȍȟȍȕȐȦ. ǹ ȥȚȖȑ ȚȖȟȒȐ ȏȘȍȕȐȧ , ȕȍȚ ȕȐȟȍȋȖ țȌȐȊȐȚȍȓȤȕȖȋȖ Ȋ ȚȖȔ , ȟȚȖ ȕȍȒȖȚȖȘȈȧȕȈȗȘȧȎȍȕȕȖșȚȤȊȖȚȕȖȠȍȕȐȧȝȔȍȎȌțșȚȘȈȕȈȔȐșțȡȍșȚȊțȍȚ . ǽȖȚȧ ȕȖȊȈȧȐȕȜȘȈșȚȘțȒȚțȘȈ ȉțȌȍȚ ȥȜȜȍȒȚȐȊȕȈ ȗȘȐȗȍȘȍȒȘȣȚȐȐ ȚȍȟȍȕȐȧȘȍȒ Ȑ ȌȖȉȈȊȐȚ ȊȖȏȔȖȎȕȖșȚȐ Ȋ țȗȘȈȊȓȍȕȐȐ , ȟȚȖ ȧȊȓȧȍȚșȧ ȎȐȏȕȍȕȕȖ ȊȈȎȕȖȑ ȕȍȖȉȝȖȌȐȔȖșȚȤȦ, ȗȘȍȖȌȖȓȍȚȤ Ȋ ȉțȌțȡȍȔ ȗȘȍȗȧȚșȚȊȐȧ ȕȈ ȗțȚȐ ȘȍȋȐȖȕȈȓȤȕȖȑȐȕȚȍȋȘȈȞȐȐ. ǵȈȘȈȡȐȊȈȕȐȍȗȖȚȍȕȞȐȈȓȈ Ƿ Ș Ȗ ȍ Ȓ Ț Ȗ ȗ Ș ȍ Ȍ ȍ ȓ Ȑ ȓ ȕ Ȉ Ȟ Ȑ Ȗ ȕ Ȉ ȓ Ȥ ȕ ȣ ȍ Ȗ Ș ȋ Ȉ ȕ Ȑ ȏ Ȉ Ȟ Ȑ Ȑ Ȑ 5 - 8 ȥ Ȓ ș ȗ ȍ Ș Ț Ȗ Ȋ Ȑ ȏ ȒȈȎȌȖȑ șȚȘȈȕȣ Ȍȓȧ țȟȈșȚȐȧ Ȋ ȗȘȖȋȘȈȔȔȍ ȕȈȘȈȡȐȊȈȕȐȧ ȗȖȚȍȕȞȐȈȓȈ , ȕȈȗȘȈȊȓȍȕȕȖȋȖ ȕȈ ȘȈȏȊȐȚȐȍ ȕȈȊȣȒȖȊ Ȋ ȋȐȌȘȖȒȓȐȔȈȚȐȟȍșȒȖȔ ȔȖȌȍȓȐȘȖȊȈȕȐȐ. ȅȒșȗȍȘȚȣ, ȗȘȍȌșȚȈȊȓȧȦȡȐȍ ȋȐȌȘȖȔȍȚȍȖȘȖȓȖȋȐȟȍșȒȐȍ ȐȕșȚȐȚțȚȣ, ȌȘțȋȐȍ ȊȍȌȖȔșȚȊȈ ȐȓȐ ȕȈțȟȕȖȐșșȓȍȌȖȊȈȚȍȓȤșȒȐȍ ȖȘȋȈȕȐȏȈȞȐȐ, ȖȚȊȍȚșȚȊȍȕȕȣȍ ȏȈ țȗȘȈȊȓȍȕȐȍ ȊȖȌȕȣȔȐ ȘȍșțȘșȈȔȐ Ȑ ȚȍȝȕȐȟȍșȒȐȔȐ ȐȕșȚȐȚțȚȈȔȐ șȗȍȞȐȈȓȐȏȐȘțȦȡȐȍșȧ ȕȈ ȔȖȌȍȓȐȘȖȊȈȕȐȐ Ȑ ȐȕȜȖȘȔȈȞȐȖȕȕȣȝ șȐșȚȍȔȈȝ. ǷȘȖȍȒȚȕȈȧ ȒȖȔȈȕȌȈ ȖȘȋȈȕȐȏȖȊȈȓȈ ȕȍșȒȖȓȤȒȖ șȍȔȐȕȈȘȖȊ ȗȖ ȗȘȖȉȓȍȔȈȔ ȐȏȔȍȕȍȕȐȧ ȒȓȐȔȈȚȈ Ȋ șȚȘȈȕȈȝ , Ȑ ȉȣȓȐ ȗȘȐȋȓȈȠȍȕȣ ȥȒșȗȍȘȚȣ Ȑȏ ȘȈȏȓȐȟȕȣȝ ȔȐȕȐșȚȍȘșȚȊ , ȈȒȈȌȍȔȐȟȍșȒȐȝ ȐȕșȚȐȚțȚȖȊ Ȑ ȌȘțȋȐȝ ȗȘȖȍȒȚȖȊ . ǪȣșȚțȗȓȍȕȐȧ, șȌȍȓȈȕȕȣȍ ȥȒșȗȍȘȚȈȔȐ ȗȘȖȍȒȚȈ Ȑ ȕȈȞȐȖȕȈȓȤȕȣȔȐ ȖȘȋȈȕȈȔȐ ȊȓȈșȚȐ ȗȘȍȌșȚȈȊȐȓȐ ȐȕȜȖȘȔȈȞȐȦ ȗȖ